Robot Line Dancing and Defence Procurement.
Summary Robots can line dance and cheap mini drones can do air displays, so either can be weaponised to overwhelm conventional weapon systems. Mass use …
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Modern Matters; PInned Posts
Brexit and Infinite Money.
50 years from now historians will be debating what shaped Britain in 2016 and these factors will shape the aspirant leaders, not vice versa. History …
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What to do about Russia; avoid a modern Versailles.
Many historians agree The Treaty of Versailles signed at the end of WW1 was largely the cause of WW2, which was the very thing it …
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Brexit Archive
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Brexit Analysis
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After a No Deal Brexit
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Prove before trying
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Tarrifs and Tennis Racquets
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How would Chimps do Brexit
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Too soon to celebrate or despair
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The Health of the EU
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Brexit and Infinite Money
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Irelands Euro Straight Jacket
Modern History and Geopolitics
Here we make connections between history and more modern events. There is much geopolitical analysis published some excellent and some simply an echo of the consensus. It is only worth writing when there is something original to say. When I read something useful I will post the link here with a comment. It is a highly curated feed but history is worth the effort
UK Politics
The Last Letter from England -20 March 2020.
(Barely amended since Mar 2020) Dear Jeff I have been watching President Trump’s speeches on TV from our holiday here in Lake Placid. It is …
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Was Covid 19 hiding in plain sight?
The key number missing from the public discourse on Covid 19 was mortality rate. Only if that was high did Covid 19 Virus justify the …
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Tariffs and Tennis Racquets; The Irish back stop is like King Canute facing down global trade.
The European Union wisely chose near frictionless trade internally, the Single Market, but high barriers to global goods coming in, the Customs Union. Some argue …
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Why not prove Brexit before doing it?
This is a positive case for a slow Brexit by proving the benefits before abandoning existing markets in the EU. The EU is in serious …
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How would Chimps do Brexit?
People never know they are experiencing a revolution until it is over. Revolutions are all ascribed to a date, 1789, 1917 etc, but most take …
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Game Consoles and Brexit
It is odd how many people who rarely sell anything are so expert on trade policy. They lead you to think trade is created by …
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Ireland’s Euro Straightjacket
The CApx article below is more elegant than my own attempts to explain that the structural problem of the EU is the Euro, not the …
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No Deal Versus a Never Ending Brexit.
My ambitious goal is to write something everyone can agree on, by offering analysis and not advocacy. You judge. Things to Consider… These go unremarked …
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Brexit and Infinite Money.
50 years from now historians will be debating what shaped Britain in 2016 and these factors will shape the aspirant leaders, not vice versa. History …
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Brexit: Too soon to celebrate or despair.
Clearly, we are in an avoidable mess which is very annoying. Half the population is very sad, although it is a different half to a …
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The Brexit Arguments
Brexit is complex so I wrote myself a note to then share. In summary, the EU is in denial that the Euro is the problem. …
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Big Picture Comments
Iranian Revolution Again?
Analysis History seeks to inform the present. There are lots of revolutions to study including Iran 1979. Revolutions are all ascribed a date but in …
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Robot Line Dancing and Defence Procurement.
Summary Robots can line dance and cheap mini drones can do air displays, so either can be weaponised to overwhelm conventional weapon systems. Mass use …
Keep reading
Economics and Geopolitics
The US versus Iran; The hare versus the tortoise.
IRGC decision makers in Iran are thinking about what history teaches them. In the early 1980s, Iran wanted to extend the influence of their Islamic …
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Iran 2026 and Zululand 1879; both similar and different.
At the time of writing (12 March) the Iran conflict is stuck. The US has done most of what it (retrospectively) said it wanted to …
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History’s echoes: Iran and the Kissinger playbook
Tobias Elwood, a former UK Defence Minister has written a perfectly fair piece in the Times in which he said. “Afghanistan and Iraq are cautionary …
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Iranian Revolution Again?
Analysis History seeks to inform the present. There are lots of revolutions to study including Iran 1979. Revolutions are all ascribed a date but in …
Keep reading
What to do about Russia; avoid a modern Versailles.
Many historians agree The Treaty of Versailles signed at the end of WW1 was largely the cause of WW2, which was the very thing it …
Keep reading
The Brexit Arguments
Brexit is complex so I wrote myself a note to then share. In summary, the EU is in denial that the Euro is the problem. …
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